Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.001390 0.001555 0.001719 0.001895 0.002078 0.002263 0.002462
2025-09-14 0.001127 0.001364 0.001608 0.001876 0.002161 0.002454 0.002775
2025-09-21 0.000963 0.001257 0.001569 0.001919 0.002297 0.002691 0.003129
2025-09-28 0.000854 0.001198 0.001571 0.001998 0.002466 0.002958 0.003511
2025-10-05 0.000716 0.001093 0.001514 0.002004 0.002549 0.003129 0.003785
2025-10-12 0.000614 0.001020 0.001484 0.002035 0.002654 0.003320 0.004078
2025-10-19 0.000498 0.000919 0.001415 0.002015 0.002699 0.003440 0.004290
2025-10-26 0.000409 0.000841 0.001367 0.002014 0.002760 0.003575 0.004515
2025-11-02 0.000321 0.000755 0.001303 0.001990 0.002792 0.003674 0.004697
2025-11-09 0.000260 0.000699 0.001272 0.002001 0.002860 0.003811 0.004920
2025-11-16 0.000203 0.000641 0.001233 0.002000 0.002912 0.003928 0.005118
2025-11-23 0.000153 0.000584 0.001192 0.001993 0.002955 0.004033 0.005300
2025-11-30 0.000102 0.000529 0.001167 0.002025 0.003068 0.004245 0.005635
2025-12-07 0.000046 0.000440 0.001090 0.001991 0.003104 0.004370 0.005876
2025-12-14 0.000018 0.000394 0.001068 0.002026 0.003220 0.004589 0.006223
2025-12-21 0.000006 0.000371 0.001079 0.002101 0.003386 0.004864 0.006634
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000316 0.001035 0.002103 0.003461 0.005034 0.006926
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000278 0.001014 0.002132 0.003567 0.005239 0.007255
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000224 0.000958 0.002110 0.003610 0.005367 0.007496
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000183 0.000918 0.002108 0.003674 0.005520 0.007763
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000139 0.000864 0.002083 0.003707 0.005634 0.007984
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000111 0.000837 0.002094 0.003784 0.005798 0.008262
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000084 0.000803 0.002092 0.003844 0.005941 0.008513